The New England Patriots will look to turn around their recent fortunes and make yet another run to the Super Bowl when they host the Tennessee Titans on Saturday in an AFC Wild-Card matchup. The Patriots (12-4) are have won just four of their last eight games after starting the season 8-0, while the Titans (9-7) are 5-3 on the road, their first winning percentage above .500 since going 6-2 in 2008.
The second game of the NFL Playoffs 2020 kicks at 8:15 p.m. ET from Foxborough, and the Patriots are coming off a 27-24 loss to the Miami Dolphins last Sunday. New England is a 4.5-point favorite in the latest Patriots vs. Titans odds, down one from the opener, while the over-under for total points scored is 44.5. Before making any Titans vs. Patriots picks, check out the NFL predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up over $7,000 for $100 players on its top-rated NFL picks since its inception four-plus years ago. It has nailed its recent top-rated NFL picks, entering Wild Card Weekend of the 2019-20 NFL playoffs on a strong 34-22 run that dates back to last season. It’s also on an incredible 96-65 roll on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.
The model ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch the past three years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 96 percent of CBS Sports office pool players last season. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, the model has set its sights on Patriots vs. Titans. We can tell you that the model is leaning under, and it also says one side of the spread hits in more than 50 percent of simulations. Visit SportsLine to see the pick. Now, here are the NFL betting lines and trends for Titans vs. Patriots:
- Patriots vs. Titans spread: Patriots -4.5
- Patriots vs. Titans over-under: 44.5 points
- Patriots vs. Titans money line: Titans +183, Patriots -226
- TEN: Titans are 5-3 on the road
- NE: Patriots have a plus-195 point differential
The model knows New England has won six straight home matchups against the Titans and the last two playoff meetings against Tennessee, both at Foxborough. The Patriots rolled to a 35-14 win on Jan. 13, 2018, and beat the Titans by a field goal on Jan. 10, 2004. New England is 7-2 against the spread in its last nine playoff games.
Running back Sony Michel leads the Patriots’ ground attack, rushing 247 times for 912 yards and seven touchdowns. He has three plays of 20-plus yards. In Week 16, Michel carried 21 times for 96 yards in a 24-17 victory over Buffalo, and then followed that up with 18 rushes for 74 yards and one touchdown against Miami.
But just because New England has experienced plenty of success the past two decades does not guarantee it will cover the Patriots vs. Titans spread on Saturday.
That’s because Tennessee has been hot, winning five of its last seven, including a 35-14 victory at Houston in Week 17. The Titans secured their fourth straight winning season, the first time since winning at least nine games every year from 1987 to 1993. Tennessee is 5-1-1 against the spread in its last seven games against AFC opponents.
One of the main reasons for the Titans’ success this season is due to the play of running back Derrick Henry, who rushed 303 times for 1,540 yards and 16 touchdowns in just 15 games. Against the Texans last Sunday, he carried 32 times for 211 yards and scored three TDs. With defenses loading the box to stop the run, quarterback Ryan Tannehill has completed 70.3 percent of his passes, thrown 22 touchdowns and gifted just six interceptions.
So who wins Titans vs. Patriots in the 2020 NFL Playoffs? And which side of the spread can you bank on in over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Titans vs. Patriots spread to jump on Saturday, all from the advanced model that is up more than $7,000 on its top-rated NFL picks, and find out.