The Kansas City Chiefs have already clinched the AFC West title but, in Week 16, Patrick Mahomes and company have plenty to play for as they visit the Chicago Bears. Andy Reid’s team still has a chance to pursue a first-round bye in the AFC playoff bracket, and a victory in Chicago is paramount to their chances. The teams square off on Sunday Night Football from Soldier Field, with kickoff set for 8:20 p.m. ET. 

Kansas City is a seven-point favorite and the over-under for total points scored is 44.5 in the latest Chiefs vs. Bears odds. Before locking in any Bears vs. Chiefs picks or NFL predictions, make sure you see what SportsLine expert Mike Tierney has to say.

The veteran sportswriter, whose work appears in The New York Times and Los Angeles Times, has covered football of all levels for decades. That expertise has been evident since he joined SportsLine in 2016, as he has been a consistent winner in both college and pro football. He enters this week as SportsLine’s most profitable NFL handicapper this season, posting a record of 44-25 on his NFL picks after a 2018 season in which he posted a 63-46 record against the spread. 

More importantly, he has had a sharp eye for the tendencies of these clubs, posting a record of 13-4 in his last 17 against the spread picks involving the Bears or Chiefs. Anyone who has followed him is way up.

Now, he has locked in on Bears vs. Chiefs from every angle and released a confident against-the-spread pick that is only available at SportsLine. Go to SportsLine to see it. Here are the NFL lines and trends for Bears vs. Chiefs:

  • Bears vs. Chiefs spread: Chiefs -7
  • Bears vs. Chiefs over-under: 44.5 points
  • Bears vs. Chiefs money line: Chiefs -241, Bears +196
  • KC: Four straight victories after losing four of six games
  • CHI: Three-game winning streak snapped in Week 15 against Green Bay

Tierney knows that the Bears have been eliminated from the postseason and, by proxy, Chicago is operating in a spoiler role. The Bears, however, bring the No. 8 total defense and No. 3 scoring defense in the NFL this season. Chicago is allowing only 18.1 points per game and, at home under the lights, there is every reason to believe the Bears can compete defensively. With the ball in their hands, Chicago is admittedly less potent, but the Chiefs struggle in containing the ground game. That could provide a path to impact for Bears running back David Montgomery, who has compiled more than 700 rushing yards and five touchdowns in his rookie season.

Still, Chicago isn’t assured of covering the Bears vs. Chiefs spread on Sunday Night Football. 

Tierney knows that Kansas City’s defense has operated in improving fashion in recent weeks. The Chiefs have allowed 17 points or fewer in each of the team’s past four games and, during that time, Kansas City is allowing only 11 points per contest. They are sometimes vulnerable against potent running games but, with the Chiefs able to bank on high-flying performance from their offense, that is less of a concern. 

Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce give Mahomes a prolific duo in the passing game and, to this point in the calendar, Mahomes has proven that he is not deterred when forced to play in the outdoor elements. 

We can tell you Tierney is leaning under the total, but his much stronger play is on the spread. He’s found a critical x-factor that makes one side of the spread hit hard on Sunday Night Football. He’s sharing what it is, and who to back, only at SportsLine. 

Who wins Bears vs. Chiefs on Sunday Night Football? And what critical x-factor makes one side of the spread a must-back? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Bears vs. Chiefs spread you should be all over Sunday, all from the expert who’s 13-4 on picks involving these teams.