Nikola Jokic and the red-hot Denver Nuggets travel to the Twin Cities for a Sunday afternoon matchup against Karl-Anthony Towns and the Minnesota Timberwolves. The Nuggets are riding a three-game winning streak, and Mike Malone’s team is relatively healthy at this juncture in the campaign. The Timberwolves are also coming off a win, but Minnesota could be short-handed, with Jeff Teague (illness) and Jordan Bell (shoulder) questionable for Sunday’s tilt and Shabazz Napier (hamstring) doubtful to play. Tip-off is at 3:30 p.m. ET at the Target Center. Sportsbooks list the Nuggets as three-point road favorites, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 217.5 in the latest Nuggets vs. Timberwolves odds. Before you make any Timberwolves vs. Nuggets picks, see what SportsLine’s advanced computer model has to say.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, and anyone who followed it last season saw massive returns. The model finished 300-252 on all its top-rated picks. On top-rated against-the-spread and money line NBA picks alone, the model returned a whopping $4,280.
Now it has locked in on Nuggets vs. Timberwolves. We can tell you it’s leaning Over, and it also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can only see that pick at SportsLine.
The model knows that the Timberwolves have been impressive this season, particularly when Towns is available to play. Minnesota sports a 4-2 record with Towns in the lineup, and the talented big man is averaging 25.7 points and 12.2 rebounds per game in six appearances. Towns brings a dynamic offensive element to the table and, while Teague’s potential absence could impact Minnesota’s production on that end, the center position is a robust strength. It is noteworthy that this is a rare game in which the Timberwolves don’t have a distinct edge in the middle, however, and that could place an emphasis on supporting pieces like Robert Covington and Andrew Wiggins, both of whom are enjoying positive starts to the 2019-20 season.
But just because the Timberwolves have a few edges doesn’t mean Minnesota will cover the Nuggets vs. Timberwolves spread on Sunday afternoon.
The model is also very aware that Denver has firepower of its own, even if the Nuggets have struggled to a bottom-10 mark in the NBA in offensive rating to this point. Jokic is an offense unto himself and the Nuggets are one of the best passing teams in the NBA. Jamal Murray could be a swing player for Denver in this spot and he is capable of a big night at any moment. The Nuggets also have a clear advantage when it comes to depth, with no major injury issues and a roster that is built for present-day success with multiple options at each position.
Defensively, the Nuggets have been quite stout to this point in the season, posting a top-10 mark in the NBA. They’ll need to lean heavily on that side of the ball in order to stop Towns and a potent Minnesota offense.
So who wins Nuggets vs. Timberwolves And which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Nuggets vs. Timberwolves spread you need to jump on Sunday, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.