Looking forward, the Phillies will enter the 2020 season with Harper, Segura, Nola, Arrieta, McCutchen, and Scott Kingery under contract, and Realmuto, Hoskins, Eflin, Pivetta, and Velasquez under team control. Those are the makings of a contender, but Philly ownership will need to invest further in the product.
|Phillies’ year||OPS||Runs scored||Rotation ERA||Rotation FIP||Bullpen ERA||Bullpen FIP||Defensive Efficiency|
|The Philly bullpen was injured early and often in 2019, and you can explain away some of their struggles with that. The Phils this season were one of the most injured teams in all of baseball, and that was most acutely felt in the bullpen, where seven of their top eight relievers (!) missed significant time. The rotation, though, has no such excuses.||9th||9th||9th||9th||9th||2019 (NL rank)||8th|
2018 (NL rank) 12th
FIP (or Fielding Independent Pitching) is scaled to look like ERA but reflects just those outcomes that have nothing to do with fielding — i.e., strikeouts, walks, and home runs allowed. Basically, it’s what a pitcher’s ERA might look like if you gave him average defensive support and average luck. As such, it can better measure of raw pitching skill than ERA is, and it typically illuminates future performance better than ERA does. Therein lies the concern for the Phillies, especially in the rotation.