The NFL season is almost here. Indianapolis Colts fans enter the year with caution after franchise quarterback Andrew Luck has been unable to practice in camp due to a calf injury. The Colts made the playoffs last season and had plenty of money to spend in free agency, using it to bring in former Chiefs star defensive end Justin Houston and former Panthers wide receiver Devin Funchess. Luck has been held out of the early portion of camp with a calf injury, but the Colts still boast one of the highest 2019 NFL win totals of any team at 10. Luck had an eye-popping 39 passing touchdowns last season after sitting out all of 2017. Bettors will be monitoring him closely with a double-digit win total on the board, but before you make any 2019 NFL picks on regular-season win totals or any other pro football predictions, be sure to see what the data-driven model at SportsLine has to say.

This model nailed its top-rated NFL picks last year, finishing the season on a strong 16-6 run. For the season, it went 30-15 on all top-rated picks, extending its two-year run to a strong 78-49. It also went 170-84 on straight-up NFL picks during the regular season, ranking inside the top 10 on for the third straight year. Anyone who has followed it is way up. 

Now, it’s locked in on Vegas’ projected 2019 NFL win totals. We can tell you the model says the Oakland Raiders go under their projected total of six. Oakland stockpiled draft picks by trading away Khalil Mack and Amari Cooper in 2018, and second-year head coach Jon Gruden surprised many with the selections he made in the 2019 NFL Draft

The Raiders took defensive end Clelin Ferrell No. 4 overall and then drafted running back Josh Jacobs 24th and safety Johnathan Abram 27th. All three could be thrust into starting roles now, but rookie struggles could significantly challenge the team in an AFC West that includes the Chiefs and Chargers, two of the league’s best teams last season. 

Derek Carr hasn’t evolved into the elite quarterback the franchise had hoped for and now he has the benefit and challenge of working with Antonio Brown, one of the league’s most talented receivers but also an outspoken player who was traded from Pittsburgh after his relationship with Ben Roethlisberger soured. Brown is also dealing with a foot injury. That’s why the model predicts a 5.2-10.8 record on average in its 10,000 simulations of the 2019 NFL schedule.

The model has also unearthed major discrepancies for four other NFL clubs, and generated each team’s exact win total this season, including the New York Giants. They finished with five wins last season amid a dismal season and sent Odell Beckham to the Browns. Oddsmakers have set their season win total at six, and the projection model has a strong opinion on the 2019 fortunes for a New York team that won 11 games three years ago.

So which teams sail past their projected win totals? And how many wins will every single NFL team have this season? Visit SportsLine now to get the five best NFL win total picks, plus see every team’s projected record, all from an advanced computer model that keeps crushing its picks, and find out.