The New York Yankees came into this series with a 6-1 head-to-head record against the Boston Red Sox on the season. Boston left no doubt that it intends to make this weekend different, destroying the Yankees 19-3 in the series opener on Thursday. Now these AL East rivals meet for Game 2 on Friday evening with first pitch from Fenway Park scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. New York is listed as a -126 favorite (risk $126 to win $100), with the over-under for total runs set at 11.5 in the latest Yankees vs. Red Sox odds. Be sure to see the MLB predictions from SportsLine’s proven projection model before locking in any Yankees vs. Red Sox picks of your own for this AL East showdown. 

This model, which simulates every game 10,000 times, entered Week 18 of the MLB season on a sizzling 27-10 run on top-rated MLB money line picks, returning over $2,000 on the season to $100 bettors. Anybody who has been following it is way up.

Now the model has dialed in on Yankees vs. Red Sox. We can tell you it’s leaning over, and it also says one side of the money line has all the value. You can only see that pick at SportsLine.

The computer has taken into account that the Red Sox had perhaps their most complete performance of the season on Thursday in the 16-run victory. Xander Bogaerts went 4-for-6 with four RBIs, while Mookie Betts, Rafael Devers and Andrew Benintendi were just a few of the others with a multi-hit night. Lost in that display of hitting was a solid outing for Boston’s staff. Rick Porcello gave up three runs over six innings, while the bullpen held New York’s potent offense scoreless over the last three innings. 

Boston has now taken three of its last four in a stretch against the Yankees and Rays, the other top teams in the division. New acquisition Andrew Cashner (9-5 with Baltimore and Boston this season) will look to keep it rolling for Boston in his third start for the Red Sox since being brought over in an early-July trade. 

But just because Boston dominated Game 1, doesn’t make it the best value on the Yankees vs. Red Sox money line on Friday evening.

That’s because Cashner has struggled in his two starts with Boston, giving up nine earned runs in 11 innings, both losses. His ERA has risen to 4.19 on the season since the trade.

And while Boston’s commanding win on Thursday can’t be overlooked, New York’s 6-2 head-to-head record against the Red Sox this season suggests that it might’ve been an anomaly. The Yankees have returned profit on the road (+359) and as favorites (+801) this season. Furthermore, New York projected starter James Paxton has been great against the Red Sox in his career, posting a 3-0 record with a career 1.89 ERA against them.

So who wins Red Sox vs. Yankees? And which side of the money line has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Red Sox vs. Yankees money line you should be all over, all from the advanced model that has crushed its MLB picks, and find out.