The New York Yankees look to secure their fifth series win in their last six tries when they visit the Tampa Bay Rays on Sunday. The Yankees (57-30), first in the American League East Division, had a three-game winning streak snapped on Saturday, while the Rays (51-39), second in the division, are 3-3 in July. Sunday’s first pitch from Tropicana Field in Tampa is set for 1:10 p.m. ET. The latest Yankees vs. Rays odds show the Rays favored at -120 on the money line (risk $120 to win $100), while the over-under for total runs scored is eight. Before making any Yankees vs. Rays picks of your own, see the MLB predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

This model, which simulates every game 10,000 times, entered Week 15 of the MLB season on a stunning 11-1 run on top-rated MLB money line picks. Its top-rated money-line picks have now returned almost $1,600 on the season for $100 bettors, and anybody who has been following it is way up.

Now the model has dialed in on Yankees vs. Rays. We can tell you it’s leaning over, and it also says one side of the money line has all the value. You can only see that pick at SportsLine.

The model knows right-hander Charlie Morton (9-2, 2.36 ERA) takes the mound for the Rays. He allowed five runs – three earned – over four innings in his only start against the Yankees this season. Morton defeated Baltimore 6-3 last Tuesday, pitching seven innings, allowing four hits and one earned run, while striking out 12. For the season, Morton has 132 strikeouts and just 35 walks.

The Rays’ pitching staff is ranked in the top three in a number of categories, including ERA (3.35), opponents’ batting average (.225), strikeouts (864) and WHIP (1.23).

But just because Tampa Bay has pitched well this season does not mean it is the best value on the Yankees vs. Rays money line.

That’s because the Yankees, 9-3 against the Rays this season, will send left-hander James Paxton (5-3, 4.09 ERA) to the mound. Paxton had a solid outing on Tuesday against the Mets, allowing one run in six innings. The Yankees have won three of his last four starts.

Center fielder Aaron Hicks has been red-hot in the series, going 5-for-11 with two doubles, two home runs and four RBIs, while Gio Urshela is 12-for-34 with three doubles and six RBIs against Tampa Bay this season. Shortstop Didi Gregorius had his seven-game hitting streak snapped on Saturday. During the streak, he was 14-for-32 with a double, three home runs and six RBIs.

So who wins Yankees vs. Rays? And which side of the money line has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the money line you should be all over Sunday, all from the advanced model on an 11-1 roll on MLB picks, and find out.