The Kansas City Royals look to salvage a split of their four-game series with the Toronto Blue Jays on Monday. The Royals (29-55), fourth in the American League Central Division, have struggled on the road this season, going 13-30 away from home. The Blue Jays (31-53), fourth in the AL East, had a two-game winning streak snapped by the Royals on Sunday and are 15-26 at home this year. First pitch from the Rogers Centre is set for 1:07 p.m. ET on Canada Day. The latest Royals vs. Blue Jays odds show the Blue Jays favored at -132 on the money line (risk $132 to win $100), while the over-under for total runs scored is 10.5. Before making any Royals vs. Blue Jays picks of your own, be sure to see the MLB predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

This model, which simulates every game 10,000 times, entered Week 14 of the MLB season on a strong 47-27 run on top-rated MLB money line picks, and has returned over $1,000 in profit to $100 bettors during that span. It’s an eye-popping 22-12 on top-rated money line picks over the last three weeks, and anybody who has been following it is way up. 

Now the model has dialed in on Royals vs. Blue Jays. We can tell you it’s leaning under, and it also says one side of the money line has all the value. You can only see that pick at SportsLine.

The model knows the Blue Jays will send left-hander Clayton Richard (0-4, 6.89 ERA) to the mound. He posted his first quality start of the season last week, allowing three runs – all on solo home runs – over six innings. He walked one and struck out one in a 4-3 loss. Statistically, the Blue Jays have the edge over the Royals in a number of categories, including home runs (116 to 84), ERA (4.88 to 4.98), and strikeouts (693 to 651).

Offensively, Toronto has been led by second baseman Eric Sogard, who has been on fire in the series, going 6-for-12 with a homer and three RBIs. First baseman Justin Smoak was 2-for-5 with two home runs and three RBIs on Sunday. Catcher Danny Jansen has also been swinging a hot bat with a five-game hitting streak, going 7-for-17 with a double, two home runs and six RBIs during that stretch.

But just because Toronto has had Kansas City’s number does not mean it is the best value on the Royals vs. Blue Jays money line.

That’s because the Royals have a big statistical edge over the Blue Jays when it comes to offense, including batting average (.244 to .229), on-base percentage (.308 to .296), hits (698 to 646), doubles (149 to 123), triples (26 to 8), total bases (1,134 to 1,117) and RBIs (347 to 337).

Second baseman Whit Merrifield has hits in nine of his last 10 games, going 13-for-43 with four doubles, one home run and three RBIs during that stretch. Shortstop Nicky Lopez has had a red-hot series, going 4-for-12 with two doubles and a walk. Third baseman Hunter Dozier s 3-for-9 with two doubles and two RBIs over the past two games.

So who wins Royals vs. Blue Jays? And which side of the money line has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the money line you should be all over on Monday, all from the advanced model on a 47-27 roll, and find out.

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