History is on the line for multiple golfers at the 2019 U.S. Open, which tees off Thursday morning from Pebble Beach Golf Links, a course hosting this illustrious event for the sixth time. Tiger Woods is going for major No. 16, which would put him just two behind the legendary Jack Nicklaus. Phil Mickelson, meanwhile, is hoping to win his second tournament of the year at Pebble Beach to complete his career Grand Slam. The latest 2019 U.S. Open odds give Woods (10-1), the 2019 Masters champion, a strong chance to continue his climb, while Mickelson is well down the US Open 2019 odds board at 30-1 as he looks for his first career U.S. Open victory. Whether you’re looking to back a golfer on the cusp of history or searching through the 2019 U.S. Open field for other value selections, a little help can go a long way. That’s why you’ll want to see the 2019 U.S. Open picks and PGA predictions from the proven golf projection model at SportsLine.

SportsLine’s prediction model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has nailed five majors entering the weekend, including Koepka’s historic victory at the 2019 PGA Championship. It also called Tiger Woods’ deep run in last year’s PGA Championship despite being a 25-1 long shot. 

The model has been spot-on in the 2018-19 season as well. It was high on champion Rory McIlroy at the Players Championship, projecting him as one of the top two contenders from the start. It also correctly predicted Koepka’s (9-1) victory at the CJ Cup earlier this season. Additionally, it correctly called Bryson DeChambeau’s (9-1) seven-shot victory at the Omega Dubai Desert Classic. Anyone who has followed the model is way up.

Now with the 2019 U.S. Open field set, SportsLine simulated the event 10,000 times and the results were surprising. One huge shocker the model is calling for: Woods, a three-time champion, reigning Masters champ, and one of the top Vegas favorites, barely cracks the top 10.

With a revised PGA schedule this season, Woods elected not to play between the Masters and PGA Championship, and the layoff looked like it might have cost him. After winning at Augusta, Woods failed to make the cut at Bethpage Black despite entering the week as the betting favorite because he hit just 46 percent of fairways and gave back 0.713 strokes on the greens. He missed the cut at the PGA Championship much to the dismay of backers everywhere.

However, last week he was able to shake it off and get back on track with a top-10 finish at the Memorial. That being said, Woods hasn’t finished in the top 10 at the U.S. Open since 2010 and has missed the cut the last two times he’s played this event. Given his inconsistency off the tee and the difficulty he’s had playing out of thick rough because of chronic back issues, there are far better values in a loaded 2019 U.S. Open field than the 10-1 premium you’ll need to pay.

Another surprise: Justin Rose, a 20-1 long shot, makes a strong run at the title. He has a much better chance to win it all than his odds imply, so he’s a target for anyone looking for a huge payday.

Rose is no stranger to success at the majors. He’s finished third or better in all four of them and won the 2013 U.S. Open. His odds are longer than what they should be after a surprising missed cut at the Masters last month, but don’t let that performance deceive you. Rose has an Official World Golf Ranking of No. 4 and has been extremely consistent outside that one anomaly at Augusta.

His 2018-19 PGA Tour campaign has included three top-five finishes, including a win at the 2019 Farmers Insurance Open. Additionally, he finished in the top 10 at the Players Championship and the WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play. Even though he hits just 65.50 percent of greens in regulation, he still ranks in the top 15 in scoring average (69.761) and sand save percentage (60.87), so his precision around the green gives him the tools needed to climb the 2019 U.S. Open leaderboard quickly.

Also, the model says four other golfers with 2019 U.S. Open odds of 20-1 or longer make a strong run at the title, including a monster long shot. Anyone who backs these underdogs could hit it big.

So who will win the 2019 U.S. Open, and which long shots stun the golfing world? Check out the latest 2019 U.S. Open odds below and visit SportsLine now to see the 2019 U.S. Open projected leaderboard from the model that nailed the winners of five golf majors.

Brooks Koepka 8-1
Dustin Johnson 8-1
Tiger Woods 10-1
Rory McIlroy 10-1
Jordan Spieth 14-1
Patrick Cantlay 16-1
Justin Rose 20-1
Justin Thomas 25-1
Rickie Fowler 25-1
Adam Scott 25-1
Jon Rahm 25-1
Jason Day 25-1
Xander Schauffele 25-1
Tommy Fleetwood 30-1
Phil Mickelson 30-1
Francesco Molinari 35-1
Tony Finau 35-1
Hideki Matsuyama 40-1
Bryson DeChambeau 40-1
Matt Kuchar 40-1
Paul Casey 50-1
Webb Simpson 50-1
Brandt Snedeker 50-1